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Greens in the polls: Polanski's Ipsos rating falls to its lowest; London MRP shows Greens winning no seats

An October Ipsos poll gave Polanski a net favourability of −36, the lowest of any national party leader. A London MRP puts the Greens on 18% and winning no London seats.

L 50% · C 0% · R 50% · 2 outlets

Left 0 · Centre-left 1 · Centre 0 · Centre-right 1 · Right 0

How each side framed it

Left-leaning outlets

Independent: 'Greens could fail to win any seats in London'.

Centre outlets

No least-biased (centre) outlet in our sample covered it.

Right-leaning outlets

Evening Standard: 'Polanski slumps to worst poll rating'; 'Tories and Greens get zero in 90% of London'.

Holding the paradox

Agreed facts

Ipsos (October): 52% view Polanski unfavourably and 16% favourably, net −36, the lowest of any national party leader. An Electoral Calculus/Find Out Now London MRP puts Greens on 18% (down 3), Labour on 34%, and the Greens winning no London seats. i's columnist estimates national Green support at about 9%, down from about 14% (opinion, not a poll).

Where claims conflict

No dispute over the numbers. They are one MRP and one favourability poll, not a trend line.

The paradox

One month after the Greens won headlines (by-election, conference), two polls show the cost. Burnham's leftward pitch appears to be squeezing the Greens, which is the strategy the i column describes.

Sources by lean

Balanced: the same number of articles from the left, the centre and the right (up to 3 each). The bar above still counts every rated outlet we found. Bias and factual ratings come from Media Bias/Fact Check. How we balance · All ratings.

Showing 1 from left and right of 2 rated outlets (L 1 / C 0 / R 1). Capped at 1 because that is all we found on the thinnest side. More coverage

Follow the money

Not yet researched. We haven't yet looked at who gains or loses financially from this story, or who funds the main voices on each side. When we do, we check company filings, the Electoral Commission donations register, lobbying registers, annual reports, InfluenceMap and OpenSecrets, and we apply the same checks to every side. How we follow the money.

Who owns or funds the outlets covering this story (2 outlets)
OutletLeanOwnership & funding (MBFC)
The IndependentCentre-leftThe Independent is owned by Independent Print Limited, a company owned by the Lebedev family (Alexander Lebedev and his son Evgeny Lebedev). In 2017, Saudi Businessman Sultan Muhammad Abuljadayel bought a 30% stake in the Independent online newspaper. Advertising and subscription generate revenue for the paper..push({}); source
Evening StandardCentre-rightThe newspaper is majority-owned by Russian businessman and former KGB agent Alexander Lebedev and the Daily Mail and General Trust. Revenue is generated through advertising. source